PENGARUH VARIABEL PDRBHK_M, TPT, DAN KURS TERHADAP VARIABEL JUMLAH PENDUDK MISKIN MELALUI VARIABEL MEDIASI PENERIMAAN DI SUMATRA UTARA TAHUN 2001-2021

Penulis

  • Cornelia Aginta Br Sembiring Universitas Negeri Medan
  • Maya Sentia Anjelika Tampubolon Universitas Negeri Medan
  • Melisa Patrisia Universitas Negeri Medan
  • Fahmi Apriyansyah Siregar Universitas Negeri Medan
  • Joko Suharianto Universitas Negeri Medan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24252/el-iqthisady.v7i2.62063

Abstrak

This study aims to analyze the influence of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), the Open Unemployment Rate (TPT), and the exchange rate on the number of poor people in North Sumatra Province from 2001 to 2021, with government revenue as a mediating variable. Using secondary data from the Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and path analysis using EViews, the results show that GRDP and TPT have no significant effect on government revenue or poverty, while the exchange rate has a significant effect on both. Government revenue does not mediate the relationship between these variables. These findings indicate that exchange rate fluctuations are the dominant factor influencing poverty, while economic growth and regional fiscal revenue have not been effective in reducing the number of poor people in North Sumatra.

Keywords: GRDP, Open Unemployment Rate, Exchange Rate, Government Revenue, Poverty, North Sumatra.

Diterbitkan

2025-11-30

Terbitan

Bagian

Volume 7 Nomor 2 Desember 2025